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Understanding Uncertainty Revised Edition (Cód: 9237091)

Lindley,Dennis V; Lindley,D V

John Wiley & Sons

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Understanding Uncertainty Revised Edition

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Descrição

Praise for the First Edition ..'.a reference for everyone who is interested in knowing and handling uncertainty.' '--Journal of Applied Statistics' The critically acclaimed 'First Edition' of 'Understanding Uncertainty' provided a study of uncertainty addressed to scholars in all fields, showing that uncertainty could be measured by probability, and that probability obeyed three basic rules that enabled uncertainty to be handled sensibly in everyday life. These ideas were extended to embrace the scientific method and to show how decisions, containing an uncertain element, could be rationally made. Featuring new material, the 'Revised Edition' remains the go-to guide for uncertainty and decision making, providing further applications at an accessible level including: A critical study of transitivity, a basic concept in probability A discussion of how the failure of the financial sector to use the proper approach to uncertainty may have contributed to the recent recession A consideration of betting, showing that a bookmaker's odds are not expressions of probability Applications of the book's thesis to statistics A demonstration that some techniques currently popular in statistics, like significance tests, may be unsound, even seriously misleading, because they violate the rules of probability 'Understanding Uncertainty, Revised Edition' is ideal for students studying probability or statistics and for anyone interested in one of the most fascinating and vibrant fields of study in contemporary science and mathematics. Praise for the First Edition ..'.a reference for everyone who is interested in knowing and handling uncertainty.' --'Journal of Applied Statistics' The critically acclaimed First Edition of Understanding Uncertainty provided a study of uncertainty addressed to scholars in all fields, showing that uncertainty could be measured by probability, and that probability obeyed three basic rules that enabled uncertainty to be handled sensibly in everyday life. These ideas were extended to embrace the scientific method and to show how decisions, containing an uncertain element, could be rationally made. Featuring new material, the Revised Edition remains the go-to guide for uncertainty and decision making, providing further applications at an accessible level including: A critical study of transitivity, a basic concept in probability A discussion of how the failure of the financial sector to use the proper approach to uncertainty may have contributed to the recent recession A consideration of betting, showing that a bookmaker's odds are not expressions of probability Applications of the book's thesis to statistics A demonstration that some techniques currently popular in statistics, like significance tests, may be unsound, even seriously misleading, because they violate the rules of probability 'Understanding Uncertainty, Revised Edition' is ideal for students studying probability or statistics and for anyone interested in one of the most fascinating and vibrant fields of study in contemporary science and mathematics.

Características

Peso 0.70 Kg
Produto sob encomenda Sim
Marca John Wiley & Sons
I.S.B.N. 9781118650127
Referência 024515013
Altura 23.88 cm
Largura 15.49 cm
Profundidade 2.54 cm
Número de Páginas 424
Idioma Inglês
Acabamento Capa dura
Cód. Barras 9781118650127
Número da edição 2
Ano da edição 2013
AutorLindley,Dennis V; Lindley,D V